Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Why Mitt Romney Will Win The 2012 Election

Ronald Kessler reporting from Washington, D.C. — In the last presidential election, the press hoodwinked Americans into thinking Barack Obama was the messiah.

The press never reported that Obama had no significant achievements. As a community organizer, his only success was removing some of the asbestos from one Chicago apartment project.

In a revealing passage in his memoir, Obama wrote, “When classmates in college asked me just what it was that a community organizer did, I couldn’t answer them directly.”

Instead, he said, “I’d pronounce on the need for change. Change in the White House, where Reagan and his minions were carrying on their dirty deeds. Change in the Congress, compliant and corrupt. Change in the mood of the country, manic and self-absorbed. Change won’t come from the top, I would say. Change will come from a mobilized grass roots.”

Thus, Obama admitted that he accomplished little but was able to cover that up with diversionary talk about change.

Nor did the press report until it was too late that Obama had spent 20 years listening to the anti-white, anti-America, anti-Israel hate speech of his friend and mentor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Jr. Despite the press’ cover-up, if the financial crisis had not hit a few weeks before the election, John McCain likely would have won.

In this election, the press is still boosting President Obama, but it can’t hide the economic statistics that demonstrate Obama’s failure as president. Polls show the public understands that failure. Two-thirds of Americans think the country is on the wrong track.

While Obama is seen as more likable than Romney and the two have been running neck and neck in the polls, many hesitate to say they don’t like or won’t vote for a black man who is bright and engaging.

At the same time, Americans who have had to tighten their belts since the financial crisis understand that the country must deal with its fiscal problems, as the Romney ticket advocates.

If you doubt that, look at the results of the 2010 midterm election: With cutting government spending and attacking the fiscal crisis as major issues, the GOP won back six Senate seats and 63 seats and the majority in the House of Representatives. That led Obama to say he had suffered a “shellacking.”

Republicans also won the majority of the country’s governorships. More recently, Republican Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin withstood a recall vote protesting his cutbacks in government spending.

Polls cannot measure how many will actually show up to vote for one candidate or the other. Now that Paul Ryan has been added to the Romney ticket, conservatives are fired up. The crowds of students supporting Obama on college campuses are now nowhere to be seen. Blacks who have borne the brunt of Obama’s dismal employment record are far less enthusiastic about him than they once were. Independents who favored Obama now support Romney.

For months before he was elected, Ronald Reagan was behind Jimmy Carter by double digits in the polls. In the end, Reagan won by 10 percentage points.

Romney and the Republican National Committee have more money than Obama. They are starting to flood the country with ads that portray Obama’s failure and replay his comment that businessmen are not responsible for their own success.

The ads portray Romney as the decent man he is: With the exception of some in the press, almost everyone at the GOP convention in Tampa teared up as they heard from members of his church recounting how Romney took the time to visit and comfort their dying kids.

As noted in my story "Dave Keene: Romney Will Win by 5 to 7 Points," the former chairman of the American Conservative Union predicted as far back as June 2011 that Romney would be the GOP nominee. Just after Obama was elected president, Keene said that he “did not win for the reasons he thinks he did, and he can be counted on to overreach, helping to return Republicans to power.”

Keene says Romney will win decisively, and since the GOP convention, polls show that momentum is moving in Romney’s direction. Given the headwinds Obama faces and the quality Romney brings to the table, I believe we will start to see a snowball effect in favor of the former Massachusetts governor.

Most of all, I have faith in the American people and their ability this time to see Obama for what he reveals himself in his own memoirs to be: a pitchman. My prediction is that Romney will win by 10 to 12 percentage points.

Food Stamp Increase To 47 Million The Highest Ever

Food-stamp use reached a record 46.7 million people in June, the government said, as Democrats prepare to nominate President Barack Obama for a second term with the economy as a chief issue in the campaign.
Participation was up 0.4 percent from May and 3.3 percent higher than a year earlier and has remained greater than 46 million all year as the unemployment rate stayed higher than 8 percent. New jobless numbers will be released Sept. 7.










“Too many middle-class families who have fallen on hard times are still struggling,” Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack said in an e-mailed statement today. “Our goal is to get these families the temporary assistance they need so they are able to get through these tough times and back on their feet as soon as possible.”
Food-stamp spending, which has more than doubled in four years to a record $75.7 billion in the fiscal year ended Sept. 30, 2011, is the USDA’s biggest annual expense. Republicans in Congress have criticized the cost of the program, and the House budget plan approved in April sponsored by Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the party’s vice-presidential nominee, would cut expenses by $33 billion over 10 years.

Cuts Planned

Reductions to the program have also emerged as a point of contention in debate over a farm bill to replace current law that expires Sept. 30. The U.S. Senate in June passed a plan that would lower expenditures by $4 billion over 10 years, while the House Agriculture Committee the following month backed a $16 billion cut.
During the Republican primary campaign, then-candidate Newt Gingrich labeled Obama as “the best food-stamp president in American history.” When the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People called his statements “inaccurate” and “divisive,” Gingrich dismissed the complaints as a smear from “modern liberals” who are “off the deep end.”
Food-stamp enrollment is rising partly because the USDA is pushing higher participation too aggressively, giving government money to people who may not need or want it, U.S. Senator Jeff Sessions said in a telephone interview.

‘Government Incompetence’

“This administration has been hawking food stamps,” said the Alabama Republican, who has called for lower spending on the program. “Every additional dollar in this program is borrowed money,” he said. “It’s one more example of government incompetence.”
Today’s report shows the two most populous states, California and Texas, had the most recipients. California was tops with 4.012 million, a 0.8 percent gain from the previous month and 7.3 percent more than the previous year. Texas was in second place, while down 0.4 percent from the previous month and 1.4 percent lower than a year earlier.
Louisiana and North Carolina, where Democrats are convening this week to renominate Obama, had the biggest monthly gains in enrollment, 1.3 percent. Enrollment fell the most in Utah, down 1.4 percent from May, followed by Idaho and Ohio.
Spending on what’s officially called the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program totaled $6.21 billion in June, 0.4 percent higher than the previous month and 2.8 percent more than a year earlier. The record is $6.26 billion spent in September 2011.